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One thing to look for is how far south Irma ends up as it moves just north of Puerto Rico/Hispanola/Cuba.

The closer Irma comes to the Cuban coast, the harder it will be for it to miss the Florida peninsula. All in all, it's a frustrating time requiring patience, vigilance and preparation.

In the short term, this means a track that hugs the coast of Puerto Rico and then Cuba (perhaps even making a grazing landfall in Cuba).

There is pretty general agreement that by Friday evening, Irma will be somewhere in an area between the north central Cuban coast up to the extreme southern Bahamas. The European model -- which has been our best "out to sea" hope -- turns the storm north, JUST missing Miami and eventually slamming into the coast near the SC/NC border. The GFS makes a much more gradual turn north and brings the storm briefly into the Gulf before coming ashore late Sunday near Charlotte Harbor in SW Florida, then running up the middle of the peninsula.


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The Canadian run was very strange -- it has Irma crossing the keys, coming ashore near Naples, then crossing the state to the NE, emerging into the Atlantic and not coming ashore again until Cape Hatteras.Free medical insurance shut grade levitra discount prices droop horn Kate, smiling broadly on her way into the chapel, wore a cream-colored dress and matching hat with her long hair brushed to the side.


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